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Today's Slate
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Published
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Strong
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Avg Prob
NYY @ BOS
87°F
18mph out
HR +19%
LAD @ COL
72°F
11mph out
HR +34%
SEA @ HOU
Roof closed
HR neutral
SD @ SF
58°F
22mph in
HR −18%
ATL @ PHI
74°F
6mph cross
HR +3%
Published Signals
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View all →
| Player | Market | Model Prob | EV | Model Pick | Trend | Signal | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Francisco Lindor NYM · SS · vs RHP · Bat 1 | Batter Hits O/U 0.5 | 73.4% | 52.4% | +40.1% | -140 open -110 → -140 ▲ Sharp | 3.8u | +2.71u | Strong |
Yordan Alvarez HOU · DH · vs LHP · Bat 3 | Batter Hits O/U 0.5 | 71.8% | 52.4% | +37.0% | -115 open -110 → -115 ▲ Sharp | 3.4u | +2.96u | Strong |
Freddie Freeman LAD · 1B · vs RHP · Bat 3 | Batter Hits O/U 0.5 | 70.2% | 52.4% | +33.9% | -110 open -110 → -110 — Flat | 3.1u | +2.82u | Strong |
Mookie Betts LAD · RF · vs RHP · Bat 2 | Batter Hits O/U 0.5 | 62.4% | 52.4% | +19.1% | -110 open -110 → -110 — Flat | 1.7u | +1.55u | Lean |
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Published Signals
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| Player ⇅ | Game ⇅ | Market | Model Prob ▼ | EV ⇅ | Model Pick ⇅ | Trend | Signal ⇅ | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Francisco Lindor NYM · SS · vs RHP · Bat 1 | NYM @ ATL | Batter Hits O/U 0.5 | 73.4% | 52.4% | +40.1% | -140 open -110 → -140 ▲ Sharp | 3.8u | +2.71u | Strong |
Yordan Alvarez HOU · DH · vs LHP · Bat 3 | SEA @ HOU | Batter Hits O/U 0.5 | 71.8% | 52.4% | +37.0% | -115 open -110 → -115 ▲ Sharp | 3.4u | +2.96u | Strong |
Freddie Freeman LAD · 1B · vs RHP · Bat 3 | LAD @ COL | Batter Hits O/U 0.5 | 70.2% | 52.4% | +33.9% | -110 open -110 → -110 — Flat | 3.1u | +2.82u | Strong |
Gunnar Henderson BAL · SS · vs RHP · Bat 2 | BAL @ TB | Batter Hits O/U 0.5 | 68.9% | 52.4% | +31.5% | -118 open -105 → -118 ▲ Sharp | 2.8u | +2.37u | Strong |
Steven Kwan CLE · LF · vs RHP · Bat 1 | DET @ CLE | Batter Hits O/U 0.5 | 67.1% | 52.4% | +28.1% | -110 open -115 → -110 ▼ Against | 2.5u | +2.27u | Strong |
Mookie Betts LAD · RF · vs RHP · Bat 2 | LAD @ COL | Batter Hits O/U 0.5 | 62.4% | 52.4% | +19.1% | -110 open -110 → -110 — Flat | 1.7u | +1.55u | Lean |
Kyle Tucker HOU · RF · vs LHP · Bat 4 | SEA @ HOU | Batter Hits O/U 0.5 | 61.8% | 52.4% | +17.9% | -110 open -110 → -110 — Flat | 1.5u | +1.36u | Lean |
Rafael Devers BOS · 3B · vs RHP · Bat 4 | NYY @ BOS | Batter Hits O/U 0.5 | 39.2% | 52.4% | −25.3% | -110 open -110 → -110 — Flat | — | — | Fade |
Research Projections
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Game Cards
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Confirmed Lineups
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Projected Lineups
NYY @ BOS
7:10 PM ET · Fenway Park
87°F
18mph out
HP UmpÁngel Hernández
K+8%
BB+6%
Pitcher Friendly
NYY Confirmed
BOS Confirmed
NYY Starter
Gerrit Cole R
5.8
IP
7.2
K
28%
K%
118
Stuff+
BOS Starter
Brayan Bello R
5.3
IP
5.4
K
22%
K%
98
Stuff+
PlayerPAHHRP(H)Signal
Aaron Judge
RF · Bat 3 · R
4.61
1.24
0.41
71.2%
Strong
Juan Soto
LF · Bat 2 · L
4.71
1.18
0.28
67.4%
Strong
Rafael Devers
3B · Bat 4 · L
4.41
0.88
0.19
39.2%
Fade
Gleyber Torres
2B · Bat 5 · R
4.21
0.96
0.14
60.1%
Lean
NYY Proj Totals
38.5
PA
5.8
Hits
10.2
TB
1.4
HR
5.4
R Prx
BOS Proj Totals
38.5
PA
4.9
Hits
8.1
TB
0.9
HR
4.2
R Prx
NYY
-148
ML
-1.5
Spread
BOS
+124
ML
+1.5
Spread
LAD @ COL
3:10 PM ET · Coors Field
72°F
11mph out
HP UmpMark Carlson
K+1%
BB−3%
Neutral
LAD Confirmed
COL Projected
LAD Starter
Tyler Glasnow R
5.6
IP
8.1
K
31%
K%
124
Stuff+
COL Starter
Cal Quantrill R
5.1
IP
4.8
K
18%
K%
91
Stuff+
PlayerPAHHRP(H)Signal
Freddie Freeman
1B · Bat 3 · L
4.71
1.31
0.38
70.2%
Strong
Mookie Betts
RF · Bat 2 · R
4.61
1.14
0.22
62.4%
Lean
Shohei Ohtani
DH · Bat 4 · L
4.41
1.02
0.44
68.8%
Strong
LAD Proj Totals
38.5
PA
6.2
Hits
11.4
TB
1.8
HR
5.9
R Prx
COL Proj Totals
38.5
PA
5.4
Hits
9.8
TB
1.6
HR
4.8
R Prx
LAD
-210
ML
-1.5
Spread
COL
+178
ML
+1.5
Spread
SEA @ HOU
8:10 PM ET · Minute Maid
🏟 Roof Closed
HP UmpJim Reynolds
K−4%
BB−5%
Hitter Friendly
SEA Projected
HOU Confirmed
SEA Starter
Logan Gilbert R
6.1
IP
6.8
K
26%
K%
109
Stuff+
HOU Starter
Framber Valdez L
6.4
IP
6.2
K
24%
K%
104
Stuff+
PlayerPAHHRP(H)Signal
Yordan Alvarez
DH · Bat 3 · L
4.71
1.26
0.39
71.8%
Strong
Kyle Tucker
RF · Bat 4 · L
4.41
1.04
0.22
61.8%
Lean
Cal Raleigh
C · Bat 5 · R
4.21
0.84
0.18
54.1%
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SEA Proj Totals
38.5
PA
4.8
Hits
7.9
TB
0.8
HR
3.9
R Prx
HOU Proj Totals
38.5
PA
6.1
Hits
10.8
TB
1.3
HR
5.2
R Prx
SEA
+162
ML
+1.5
Spread
HOU
-191
ML
-1.5
Spread
SD @ SF
9:45 PM ET · Oracle Park
58°F
22mph in
HP UmpDan Bellino
K+5%
BB+2%
Pitcher Friendly
SD Projected
SF Projected
SD Starter
Dylan Cease R
5.9
IP
7.8
K
30%
K%
116
Stuff+
SF Starter
Logan Webb R
6.2
IP
5.9
K
23%
K%
107
Stuff+
PlayerPAHHRP(H)Signal
Manny Machado
3B · Bat 3 · R
4.41
0.79
0.11
51.2%
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Heliot Ramos
CF · Bat 3 · R
4.41
0.88
0.14
60.4%
Lean
Matt Chapman
3B · Bat 5 · R
4.21
0.81
0.12
53.7%
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SD Proj Totals
38.5
PA
4.4
Hits
7.2
TB
0.6
HR
3.4
R Prx
SF Proj Totals
38.5
PA
4.7
Hits
7.8
TB
0.7
HR
3.7
R Prx
SD
+118
ML
+1.5
Spread
SF
-138
ML
-1.5
Spread
Pitcher Matchups
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High K% (25%+)
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Mid (18-24%)
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Low (≤17%)
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